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Compare St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock

St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

St. Mirren St. Mirren Home Team
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock Away Team
St. Mirren
57.0
L W W W W D D W L L

Last 10 Matches

Kilmarnock
61.8
D W W D W W W W L D

Performance Radar

St. Mirren
Kilmarnock

Categories Won

3

St. Mirren

4

Draw

8

Kilmarnock

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 2D, 3L

60%

6W, 3D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

0.5

5 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+7

+7

+12

+12

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Samuel Ramos (3 goals)
J. Hugill (7 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.1

League Difficulty: 60.0, Opponent Quality: 59.5

44.2

League Difficulty: 60.0, Opponent Quality: 57.6

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.14

1.71

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.01

Adjusted Power Rating
57.0

Attack: 58.4, Defense: 68.7, Form: 51.6

61.8

Attack: 53.4, Defense: 78.5, Form: 56.5

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2

16-30'

2
5

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

5
4

61-75'

3
6

76-90+'

3
St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
St. Mirren

Power Rating Breakdown

57.0

Overall

Attack 58.4
Defense 68.7
Form 51.6
Consistency 45.7
Kilmarnock

Power Rating Breakdown

61.8

Overall

Attack 53.4
Defense 78.5
Form 56.5
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

60.0 vs 60.0

Opponent Quality

59.5 vs 57.6

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
St. Mirren logo St. Mirren
L
Dunfermline (50%)
W
East Kilbride (57%)
W
Cove Rangers (45%)
W
Dumbarton (37%)
W
Partick (64%)
D
Partick (70%)
D
Dundee Utd (58%)
W
Aberdeen (75%)
Kilmarnock logo Kilmarnock
D
Peterhead (41%)
W
Hamilton (58%)
W
Elgin (34%)
D
Raith Rovers (51%)
W
Livingston (63%)
W
Dundee (64%)
W
St. Mirren (68%)
W
Dundee Utd (58%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Dunfermline H
0 - 1 L
50%
East Kilbride H
4 - 3 W
57%
Cove Rangers A
4 - 0 W
45%
Dumbarton A
4 - 0 W
37%
Partick H
1 - 0 W
64%
Partick A
1 - 1 D
70%
Dundee Utd H
1 - 1 D
58%
Aberdeen A
2 - 0 W
75%
Kilmarnock H
0 - 3 L
70%
Dundee A
0 - 1 L
69%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Peterhead A
0 - 0 D
41%
Hamilton H
1 - 0 W
58%
Elgin A
1 - 0 W
34%
Raith Rovers H
0 - 0 D
51%
Livingston A
4 - 1 W
63%
Dundee H
3 - 1 W
64%
St. Mirren A
3 - 0 W
68%
Dundee Utd H
3 - 0 W
58%
Aberdeen A
0 - 1 L
75%
Dundee H
2 - 2 D
64%

AI Analysis

Two well-matched sides make for a compelling statistical comparison here. Surface-level metrics only scratch the surface — once we factor in strength of schedule, the analysis gains real depth. The numbers both teams have posted reflect performances against broadly similar competition.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.1 vs 44.2), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

St. Mirren (1.7 goals per match) and Kilmarnock (1.7 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Defensively, Kilmarnock holds the advantage — allowing just 0.5 goals per game against St. Mirren's 1.0.

St. Mirren has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Kilmarnock is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: St. Mirren has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Kilmarnock has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: St. Mirren's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-05-09), Kilmarnock prevailed 0-3 against St. Mirren. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Kilmarnock achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against St. Mirren shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Kilmarnock completely dominated St. Mirren in that encounter, raising serious questions about St. Mirren's ability to compete at this level. St. Mirren will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kilmarnock will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

St. Mirren

St. Mirren

VS
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

St. Mirren

5W 2D 3L · 17 goals scored · 10 conceded

Kilmarnock

6W 3D 1L · 17 goals scored · 5 conceded

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