St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
St. Mirren
Home Team
Kilmarnock
Away Team
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Performance Radar
Categories Won
St. Mirren
Draw
Kilmarnock
Statistical Comparison
5W, 2D, 3L
6W, 3D, 1L
17 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
+7
+12
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 60.0, Opponent Quality: 59.5
League Difficulty: 60.0, Opponent Quality: 57.6
1W / 3 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.14
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.01
Attack: 58.4, Defense: 68.7, Form: 51.6
Attack: 53.4, Defense: 78.5, Form: 56.5
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Two well-matched sides make for a compelling statistical comparison here. Surface-level metrics only scratch the surface — once we factor in strength of schedule, the analysis gains real depth. The numbers both teams have posted reflect performances against broadly similar competition.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.1 vs 44.2), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
St. Mirren (1.7 goals per match) and Kilmarnock (1.7 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.
Defensively, Kilmarnock holds the advantage — allowing just 0.5 goals per game against St. Mirren's 1.0.
St. Mirren has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Kilmarnock is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.
📈 Form Momentum: St. Mirren has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Kilmarnock has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: St. Mirren's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.
In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-05-09), Kilmarnock prevailed 0-3 against St. Mirren. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Kilmarnock achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against St. Mirren shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Kilmarnock completely dominated St. Mirren in that encounter, raising serious questions about St. Mirren's ability to compete at this level. St. Mirren will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kilmarnock will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
St. Mirren
5W 2D 3L · 17 goals scored · 10 conceded
Kilmarnock
6W 3D 1L · 17 goals scored · 5 conceded
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