St Pat's vs Bohemians Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 48.6 vs 58.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Bohemians leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to St Pat's's 1.3 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Both defenses are comparable, with St Pat's conceding 1.0 and Bohemians conceding 0.8 per match.

St Pat's has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Bohemians has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

St Pat's has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.4 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: St Pat's has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Bohemians has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Bohemians. In practical terms, Bohemians would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Bohemians in this contest. Their superior power rating of 64.3, compared to 48.7 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent Irish Premier Division match (2026-06-26), Bohemians prevailed 2-0 against St Pat's. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Bohemians secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. St Pat's will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bohemians will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.