St Pat's vs Dundalk Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 48.6 vs 48.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with St Pat's averaging 1.3 and Dundalk averaging 1.5 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with St Pat's conceding 1.0 and Dundalk conceding 1.2 per match.

St Pat's has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Dundalk has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

St Pat's has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: St Pat's has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Dundalk has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Recent form is the strongest predictor of short-term performance. Dundalk's current run of 5 wins in 10 matches suggests they are playing at or near their peak capacity right now.

The data offers no clear edge here. These sides are separated by the finest of margins across every key metric, making the final result almost impossible to call in advance.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Irish Premier Division (2026-07-24). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.