St Pat's vs Shamrock Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 48.6 vs 53.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Shamrock outperforms St Pat's with 1.9 goals per match to 1.3, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with St Pat's giving up 1.0 and Shamrock giving up 1.1 per fixture.

St Pat's has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Shamrock has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Shamrock has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: St Pat's has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Shamrock has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 81% win probability for Shamrock. In practical terms, Shamrock would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Shamrock has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.5-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Irish Premier Division match (2026-05-29), Shamrock prevailed 1-0 against St Pat's. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Shamrock secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. St Pat's will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Shamrock will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.