St. Pauli vs M'gladbach Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare St. Pauli vs M'gladbach: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
St. Pauli
Home Team
M'gladbach
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
St. Pauli
Draw
M'gladbach
Statistical Comparison
1W, 2D, 7L
4W, 4D, 2L
9 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
-14
+9
0 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
1W / 7 matches
2W / 4 matches
0W / 3 matches
2W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 64.5
League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 63.7
0W / 3 matches
1W / 3 matches
Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.06
Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.42
Attack: 31.6, Defense: 24.6, Form: 10.5
Attack: 75.5, Defense: 71.8, Form: 45.3
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
St. Pauli
M'gladbach
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
With comparable strength of schedule figures (55.3 vs 63.3), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.
M'gladbach possess a formidable attacking unit, with J. Castrop accounting for 2 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.0 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.
Defensively, M'gladbach is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while St. Pauli leaks 2.3 goals per match.
St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
M'gladbach has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.1 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
❄️ Form Momentum: St. Pauli is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📈 Form Momentum: M'gladbach has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. M'gladbach is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while St. Pauli shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 32.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for M'gladbach. In practical terms, M'gladbach would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: M'gladbach holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 62.7 against 30.0 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making M'gladbach a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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St. Pauli
M'gladbach
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
St. Pauli
1W 2D 7L · 9 goals scored · 23 conceded
M'gladbach
4W 4D 2L · 20 goals scored · 11 conceded
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