St. Vincent vs Cuba Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

St. Vincent has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 60.8 against considerably stronger competition than Cuba (SoS: 48.9). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Few sides can match St. Vincent in front of goal. Their 3.0 average per fixture tells the story, with O. Anderson driving that output personally responsible for 6 goals this campaign.

St. Vincent holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.0 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Cuba's leaky backline that surrenders 1.9 goals per match.

St. Vincent has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Cuba has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

St. Vincent has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 3.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: St. Vincent has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.14 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Cuba is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. St. Vincent is on the rise with 5W in last 7, while Cuba shows signs of decline with 2W in last 7.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, St. Vincent faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Cuba can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 44.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for St. Vincent. In practical terms, St. Vincent would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, St. Vincent emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 78.8 compared to 33.9, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects St. Vincent as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Internationals match (2025-10-09), St. Vincent prevailed 1-0 against Cuba. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. St. Vincent secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Cuba will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. St. Vincent will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Internationals match (2025-10-06), St. Vincent prevailed 7-0 against Cuba. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. St. Vincent secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 7-0 scoreline was emphatic — St. Vincent completely dominated Cuba in that encounter, raising serious questions about Cuba's ability to compete at this level. Cuba will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. St. Vincent will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.