St. Vincent vs Puerto Rico Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Context matters here: St. Vincent's schedule strength (SoS: 60.8) has been notably more demanding than Puerto Rico's (SoS: 48.6), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

St. Vincent's attack is on another level, averaging 3.0 goals per match with O. Anderson leading the charge (6 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

St. Vincent has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Puerto Rico's 1.7.

St. Vincent has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

St. Vincent has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.5 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: St. Vincent has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.14 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, St. Vincent faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Puerto Rico can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 36.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for St. Vincent. In practical terms, St. Vincent would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, St. Vincent emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 78.8 compared to 42.4, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects St. Vincent as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-06-11): Puerto Rico defeated St. Vincent 2-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Puerto Rico's ability to perform on the biggest stage against St. Vincent. Puerto Rico secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. St. Vincent will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Puerto Rico will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.