Start vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 39.3 vs 36.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

The attacking output of Start and Fredrikstad is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.1 and 0.9 goals per game respectively.

Defensively, Fredrikstad is far superior, conceding just 1.2 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Start leaks 2.3 goals per match.

Fredrikstad has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Start is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Fredrikstad has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Fredrikstad is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Start shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Fredrikstad faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Start can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 76% win probability for Fredrikstad. In practical terms, Fredrikstad would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Fredrikstad, with a 10.4-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Norwegian Eliteserien match (2026-08-08), Fredrikstad prevailed 0-1 against Start. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Fredrikstad achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Start shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Start will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Fredrikstad will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Norwegian Eliteserien match (2026-05-29), Fredrikstad prevailed 2-1 against Start. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Fredrikstad secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Start will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Fredrikstad will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.