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Compare Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic

Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Stenhousemuir vs Alloa Athletic: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir Home Team
Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic Away Team
Stenhousemuir
49.8
D D W L W D D W W L

Last 10 Matches

Alloa Athletic
36.5
L D D L W L W W L L

Performance Radar

Stenhousemuir
Alloa Athletic

Categories Won

10

Stenhousemuir

2

Draw

3

Alloa Athletic

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 4D, 2L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+3

+3

-8

-8

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Anderson (3 goals)
L. Rankin (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
49.0

League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 48.3

50.3

League Difficulty: 51.0, Opponent Quality: 49.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.27

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.03

1.01

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.01

Adjusted Power Rating
49.8

Attack: 42.9, Defense: 66.0, Form: 39.6

36.5

Attack: 33.4, Defense: 40.1, Form: 30.1

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

3
1

76-90+'

3
Stenhousemuir
Alloa Athletic
Stenhousemuir

Power Rating Breakdown

49.8

Overall

Attack 42.9
Defense 66.0
Form 39.6
Consistency 56.8
Alloa Athletic

Power Rating Breakdown

36.5

Overall

Attack 33.4
Defense 40.1
Form 30.1
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

50.0 vs 51.0

Opponent Quality

48.3 vs 49.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Stenhousemuir logo Stenhousemuir
D
Livingston (48%)
D
Partick (60%)
W
Brechin (41%)
L
Alloa Athletic (46%)
W
Alloa Athletic (51%)
D
QOTS (57%)
D
QOTS (62%)
W
Montrose (43%)
Alloa Athletic logo Alloa Athletic
L
Ayr Utd (53%)
D
Falkirk (43%)
D
Stranraer (38%)
L
Edinburgh City (46%)
W
Stenhousemuir (64%)
L
Stenhousemuir (59%)
W
Airdrieonians (52%)
W
Airdrieonians (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Livingston H
0 - 0 D
48%
Partick A
2 - 2 D
60%
Brechin A
2 - 1 W
41%
Alloa Athletic H
0 - 1 L
46%
Alloa Athletic A
3 - 1 W
51%
QOTS H
2 - 2 D
57%
QOTS A
1 - 1 D
62%
Montrose A
2 - 0 W
43%
Alloa Athletic H
1 - 0 W
34%
Cove Rangers A
0 - 2 L
41%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Ayr Utd A
1 - 4 L
53%
Falkirk H
1 - 1 D
43%
Stranraer H
2 - 2 D
38%
Edinburgh City A
0 - 2 L
46%
Stenhousemuir A
1 - 0 W
64%
Stenhousemuir H
1 - 3 L
59%
Airdrieonians A
2 - 1 W
52%
Airdrieonians H
1 - 0 W
46%
QOTS H
1 - 4 L
45%
Stenhousemuir A
0 - 1 L
52%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 49.0 vs 50.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Stenhousemuir outperforms Alloa Athletic with 1.3 goals per match to 1.0, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Stenhousemuir — 1.0 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Alloa Athletic, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

Stenhousemuir has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Alloa Athletic has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Stenhousemuir has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 83% win probability for Stenhousemuir. In practical terms, Stenhousemuir would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Stenhousemuir has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.3-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These teams have faced each other 3 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Scottish Championship Play-offs match (2026-05-16), Alloa Athletic prevailed 0-1 against Stenhousemuir. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Alloa Athletic achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Stenhousemuir shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Stenhousemuir will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Alloa Athletic will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Scottish Championship Play-offs match (2026-05-13), Stenhousemuir prevailed 1-3 against Alloa Athletic. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Stenhousemuir achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Alloa Athletic shows genuine quality and mental strength. Alloa Athletic will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Stenhousemuir will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Scottish League One match (2026-04-25), Stenhousemuir prevailed 1-0 against Alloa Athletic. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Stenhousemuir secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Alloa Athletic will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Stenhousemuir will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir

VS
Alloa Athletic

Alloa Athletic

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Stenhousemuir

4W 4D 2L · 13 goals scored · 10 conceded

Alloa Athletic

3W 2D 5L · 10 goals scored · 18 conceded

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