Stoke vs Norwich Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Stoke vs Norwich: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Stoke
Home Team
Norwich
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Stoke
Draw
Norwich
Statistical Comparison
2W, 2D, 6L
5W, 3D, 2L
8 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
-9
+6
2 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
1W / 4 matches
1W / 4 matches
1W / 6 matches
4W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 61.0, Opponent Quality: 55.5
League Difficulty: 59.0, Opponent Quality: 57.1
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.02
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.03
Attack: 28.7, Defense: 46.7, Form: 21.5
Attack: 57.5, Defense: 71.9, Form: 53.9
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Stoke
Norwich
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 57.7 vs 57.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Offensively, Norwich outperforms Stoke with 1.6 goals per match to 0.8, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Norwich's backline outperforms Stoke's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.7.
Stoke has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Norwich has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Norwich is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 2.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
❄️ Form Momentum: Stoke is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📈 Form Momentum: Norwich has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Norwich is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Stoke shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 23.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Norwich. In practical terms, Norwich would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Norwich emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (59.4 vs 35.6) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Stoke
Norwich
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Stoke
2W 2D 6L · 8 goals scored · 17 conceded
Norwich
5W 3D 2L · 16 goals scored · 10 conceded
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