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Compare Stranraer vs Annan

Stranraer vs Annan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Stranraer vs Annan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Stranraer Stranraer Home Team
Annan Annan Away Team
Stranraer
33.2
L L D L W D L W D L

Last 10 Matches

Annan
26.8
L L L L D L L W L W

Performance Radar

Stranraer
Annan

Categories Won

5

Stranraer

5

Draw

5

Annan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 3D, 5L

20%

2W, 1D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

-15

-15

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Quigg (2 goals)
A. Smith (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
37.2

League Difficulty: 37.2, Opponent Quality: 37.2

40.7

League Difficulty: 37.2, Opponent Quality: 43.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.75

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.15

0.62

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.28

Adjusted Power Rating
33.2

Attack: 26.2, Defense: 43.6, Form: 17.4

26.8

Attack: 27.2, Defense: 18.1, Form: 18.1

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1

16-30'

2

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

2

61-75'

2

76-90+'

5
Stranraer
Annan
Stranraer

Power Rating Breakdown

33.2

Overall

Attack 26.2
Defense 43.6
Form 17.4
Consistency 61.3
Annan

Power Rating Breakdown

26.8

Overall

Attack 27.2
Defense 18.1
Form 18.1
Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

37.2 vs 37.2

Opponent Quality

37.2 vs 43.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Stranraer logo Stranraer
L
Falkirk (48%)
L
Edinburgh City (41%)
D
Alloa Athletic (43%)
L
Ayr Utd (48%)
W
Elgin (28%)
D
Stirling (33%)
L
Forfar (39%)
W
Spartans (37%)
Annan logo Annan
L
Clyde (49%)
L
Airdrieonians (44%)
L
Dundee (54%)
L
Ross County (53%)
D
Forfar (39%)
L
Clyde (43%)
L
Spartans (32%)
W
Elgin (28%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Falkirk A
0 - 3 L
48%
Edinburgh City H
0 - 2 L
41%
Alloa Athletic A
2 - 2 D
43%
Ayr Utd H
2 - 3 L
48%
Elgin A
1 - 0 W
28%
Stirling H
1 - 1 D
33%
Forfar H
0 - 1 L
39%
Spartans A
2 - 1 W
37%
Dumbarton H
1 - 1 D
26%
Annan A
0 - 1 L
29%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Clyde A
1 - 4 L
49%
Airdrieonians A
0 - 3 L
44%
Dundee H
0 - 5 L
54%
Ross County H
1 - 4 L
53%
Forfar H
1 - 1 D
39%
Clyde A
1 - 3 L
43%
Spartans H
0 - 2 L
32%
Elgin A
3 - 0 W
28%
East Kilbride A
1 - 2 L
57%
Stranraer H
1 - 0 W
32%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 37.2 vs 40.7), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Stranraer averaging 0.9 and Annan averaging 0.9 goals per match.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Stranraer — 1.5 goals conceded per game and 1 clean sheets put them well ahead of Annan, who give up 2.4 goals per match at the other end.

Stranraer has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Annan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Stranraer is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Annan is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Stranraer faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Annan can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 66% win probability for Stranraer. In practical terms, Stranraer would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Stranraer has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 6.4-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Scottish League Two match (2026-03-28), Annan prevailed 1-0 against Stranraer. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Annan secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Stranraer will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Annan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Stranraer

Stranraer

VS
Annan

Annan

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Stranraer

2W 3D 5L · 9 goals scored · 15 conceded

Annan

2W 1D 7L · 9 goals scored · 24 conceded

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