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Compare Stranraer vs East Kilbride

Stranraer vs East Kilbride Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Stranraer vs East Kilbride: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Stranraer Stranraer Home Team
East Kilbride East Kilbride Away Team
Stranraer
33.2
L L D L W D L W D L

Last 10 Matches

East Kilbride
58.0
L W L W W W W L W D

Performance Radar

Stranraer
East Kilbride

Categories Won

1

Stranraer

3

Draw

11

East Kilbride

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 3D, 5L

60%

6W, 1D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

2.6

26 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

+13

+13

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Quigg (2 goals)
C. Elliott (6 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 15
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

100%

5W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
37.2

League Difficulty: 37.2, Opponent Quality: 37.2

38.6

League Difficulty: 37.2, Opponent Quality: 39.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.75

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.15

2.34

Actual: 2.6 | Diff: +0.26

Adjusted Power Rating
33.2

Attack: 26.2, Defense: 43.6, Form: 17.4

58.0

Attack: 76.8, Defense: 50.2, Form: 53.2

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2

16-30'

4
2

31-45'

5
2

46-60'

5
2

61-75'

6
2

76-90+'

4
Stranraer
East Kilbride
Stranraer

Power Rating Breakdown

33.2

Overall

Attack 26.2
Defense 43.6
Form 17.4
Consistency 61.3
East Kilbride

Power Rating Breakdown

58.0

Overall

Attack 76.8
Defense 50.2
Form 53.2
Consistency 43.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

37.2 vs 37.2

Opponent Quality

37.2 vs 39.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Stranraer logo Stranraer
L
Falkirk (48%)
L
Edinburgh City (41%)
D
Alloa Athletic (43%)
L
Ayr Utd (48%)
W
Elgin (28%)
D
Stirling (33%)
L
Forfar (39%)
W
Spartans (37%)
East Kilbride logo East Kilbride
L
St. Mirren (58%)
W
Dumbarton (32%)
L
Cove Rangers (45%)
W
Dunfermline (50%)
W
Clyde (38%)
W
Dumbarton (31%)
W
Edinburgh City (36%)
L
Forfar (44%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Falkirk A
0 - 3 L
48%
Edinburgh City H
0 - 2 L
41%
Alloa Athletic A
2 - 2 D
43%
Ayr Utd H
2 - 3 L
48%
Elgin A
1 - 0 W
28%
Stirling H
1 - 1 D
33%
Forfar H
0 - 1 L
39%
Spartans A
2 - 1 W
37%
Dumbarton H
1 - 1 D
26%
Annan A
0 - 1 L
29%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Mirren A
3 - 4 L
58%
Dumbarton H
5 - 3 W
32%
Cove Rangers A
2 - 3 L
45%
Dunfermline H
3 - 0 W
50%
Clyde H
5 - 0 W
38%
Dumbarton A
1 - 0 W
31%
Edinburgh City H
4 - 0 W
36%
Forfar A
0 - 1 L
44%
Annan H
2 - 1 W
24%
Spartans A
1 - 1 D
37%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 37.2 vs 38.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

East Kilbride possess a formidable attacking unit, with C. Elliott accounting for 6 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.6 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Defensively, Stranraer and East Kilbride are evenly matched, allowing 1.5 and 1.3 goals per game respectively.

Stranraer has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

East Kilbride has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

East Kilbride has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.1 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Stranraer is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: East Kilbride has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. East Kilbride is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Stranraer shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, East Kilbride faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Stranraer can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 24.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for East Kilbride. In practical terms, East Kilbride would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

East Kilbride emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (58.0 vs 33.2) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Stranraer

Stranraer

VS
East Kilbride

East Kilbride

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Stranraer

2W 3D 5L · 9 goals scored · 15 conceded

East Kilbride

6W 1D 3L · 26 goals scored · 13 conceded

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