Sturm vs Austria Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 55.9 vs 55.2), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Sturm outperforms Austria with 1.7 goals per match to 1.4, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Sturm — 0.7 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Austria, who give up 1.6 goals per match at the other end.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Sturm has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Sturm. In practical terms, Sturm would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Sturm in this contest. Their superior power rating of 61.7, compared to 46.3 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Austrian Bundesliga (2026-04-26). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.