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Compare Sturm vs Fenerbahçe

Sturm vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Sturm vs Fenerbahçe: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Sturm Sturm Home Team
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe Away Team
Sturm
68.5
D W L W L D W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Fenerbahçe
76.2
W D L W W D W W D W

Performance Radar

Sturm
Fenerbahçe

Categories Won

3

Sturm

4

Draw

8

Fenerbahçe

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

60%

6W, 3D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

7 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+10

+10

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
S. Jatta (2 goals)
Talisca (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 12
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
62.0

League Difficulty: 71.8, Opponent Quality: 59.5

74.9

League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 67.0

Elite Opponent Record
50%

2W / 4 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.69

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.01

2.14

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.24

Adjusted Power Rating
68.5

Attack: 63.5, Defense: 85.9, Form: 67.2

76.2

Attack: 79.1, Defense: 83.3, Form: 74.9

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

6
2

16-30'

1

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

4
4

61-75'

3
5

76-90+'

2
Sturm
Fenerbahçe
Sturm

Power Rating Breakdown

68.5

Overall

Attack 63.5
Defense 85.9
Form 67.2
Consistency 52.0
Fenerbahçe

Power Rating Breakdown

76.2

Overall

Attack 79.1
Defense 83.3
Form 74.9
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

71.8 vs 81.8

Opponent Quality

59.5 vs 67.0

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 75%
Sturm logo Sturm
D
A Lustenau (50%)
W
Altach (42%)
L
Fenerbahçe (80%)
W
Hartberg (43%)
L
Fenerbahçe (85%)
D
Tirol (42%)
W
Hearts (70%)
W
Hearts (65%)
Fenerbahçe logo Fenerbahçe
W
Konyaspor (45%)
D
Lyon (68%)
L
Gençlerbirliği (60%)
W
Sturm (83%)
W
Sturm (78%)
D
Górnik (78%)
W
Górnik (73%)
W
LASK (69%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
A Lustenau H
1 - 1 D
50%
Altach H
1 - 0 W
42%
Fenerbahçe H
0 - 1 L
80%
Hartberg A
2 - 0 W
43%
Fenerbahçe A
0 - 2 L
85%
Tirol A
1 - 1 D
42%
Hearts A
2 - 0 W
70%
Hearts H
4 - 0 W
65%
Rapid Vienna H
2 - 0 W
75%
Hartberg A
4 - 2 W
43%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Konyaspor H
4 - 2 W
45%
Lyon H
1 - 1 D
68%
Gençlerbirliği A
1 - 2 L
60%
Sturm A
1 - 0 W
83%
Sturm H
2 - 0 W
78%
Górnik A
1 - 1 D
78%
Górnik H
1 - 0 W
73%
LASK A
2 - 1 W
69%
Eyüp H
3 - 3 D
66%
Konyaspor A
3 - 0 W
50%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Fenerbahçe has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 74.9) compared to Sturm (SoS: 62.0). This means Fenerbahçe's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Sturm averaging 1.7 and Fenerbahçe averaging 1.9 goals per match.

Defensively, Sturm holds the advantage — allowing just 0.7 goals per game against Fenerbahçe's 1.0.

Sturm has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Fenerbahçe has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Fenerbahçe is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.6 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Sturm has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Fenerbahçe has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Sturm has won 6 of their last 5, while Fenerbahçe has won 6. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 69% win probability for Fenerbahçe. In practical terms, Fenerbahçe would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Fenerbahçe, with a 7.7-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the UEFA Champions League (2026-08-11): Fenerbahçe defeated Sturm 0-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Fenerbahçe's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Sturm. Notably, Fenerbahçe achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Sturm shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Sturm will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Fenerbahçe will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the UEFA Champions League (2026-08-05): Fenerbahçe defeated Sturm 2-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Fenerbahçe's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Sturm. Fenerbahçe secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Sturm will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Fenerbahçe will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Sturm

Sturm

VS
Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Sturm

6W 2D 2L · 17 goals scored · 7 conceded

Fenerbahçe

6W 3D 1L · 19 goals scored · 10 conceded

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