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Compare Sturm vs Freiburg

Sturm vs Freiburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Sturm vs Freiburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Sturm Sturm Home Team
Freiburg Freiburg Away Team
Sturm
53.0
W W D D D D D W D W

Last 10 Matches

Freiburg
49.1
L W L W D L L L W W

Performance Radar

Sturm
Freiburg

Categories Won

7

Sturm

2

Draw

6

Freiburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 6D, 0L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

-2

-2

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
O. Kiteishvili (5 goals)
I. Matanović (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
39.2

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 49.2

63.0

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 66.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.7

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.1

2.2

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.5

Adjusted Power Rating
53.0

Attack: 53.5, Defense: 62.4, Form: 35.7

49.1

Attack: 64.0, Defense: 41.4, Form: 45.2

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

1

16-30'

7

31-45'

3
5

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

3
6

76-90+'

2
Sturm
Freiburg
Sturm

Power Rating Breakdown

53.0

Overall

Attack 53.5
Defense 62.4
Form 35.7
Consistency 71.2
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

49.1

Overall

Attack 64.0
Defense 41.4
Form 45.2
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 84.0

Opponent Quality

49.2 vs 66.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 25%
Sturm logo Sturm
W
Rapid Vienna (39%)
W
Hartberg (47%)
D
RB Salzburg (51%)
D
Austria (42%)
D
LASK (64%)
D
LASK (70%)
D
Hartberg (42%)
W
Rapid Vienna (44%)
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Aston Villa (73%)
W
Leipzig (74%)
L
Hamburg (65%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (57%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (81%)
L
Stuttgart (54%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rapid Vienna H
2 - 0 W
39%
Hartberg A
4 - 2 W
47%
RB Salzburg A
1 - 1 D
51%
Austria H
1 - 1 D
42%
LASK H
1 - 1 D
64%
LASK A
1 - 1 D
70%
Hartberg H
0 - 0 D
42%
Rapid Vienna A
2 - 0 W
44%
RB Salzburg H
1 - 1 D
46%
Austria A
5 - 2 W
47%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Aston Villa H
0 - 3 L
73%
Leipzig H
4 - 1 W
74%
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
65%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
57%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
81%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
54%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
58%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Freiburg has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 63.0) compared to Sturm (SoS: 39.2). This means Freiburg's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Sturm averaging 1.8 and Freiburg averaging 1.7 goals per match.

Defensively, Sturm is far superior, conceding just 0.9 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Freiburg leaks 1.9 per match.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Sturm is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Sturm

Sturm

VS
Freiburg

Freiburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Sturm

4W 6D 0L · 18 goals scored · 9 conceded

Freiburg

4W 1D 5L · 17 goals scored · 19 conceded

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