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Compare Sturm vs RB Salzburg

Sturm vs RB Salzburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Sturm vs RB Salzburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Sturm Sturm Home Team
RB Salzburg RB Salzburg Away Team
Sturm
70.2
W W W W D D D D D W

Last 10 Matches

RB Salzburg
45.4
W L L L D L W W L W

Performance Radar

Sturm
RB Salzburg

Categories Won

9

Sturm

2

Draw

4

RB Salzburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 5D, 0L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.6

6 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+12

+12

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
O. Kiteishvili (3 goals)
K. Konaté (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 12
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 13
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
62.6

League Difficulty: 63.4, Opponent Quality: 58.6

40.6

League Difficulty: 53.0, Opponent Quality: 55.4

Elite Opponent Record
67%

2W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.22

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.42

1.94

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.04

Adjusted Power Rating
70.2

Attack: 67.6, Defense: 90.1, Form: 56.3

45.4

Attack: 57.4, Defense: 45.3, Form: 36.2

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

5

31-45'

4

46-60'

3
2

61-75'

6

76-90+'

5
Sturm
RB Salzburg
Sturm

Power Rating Breakdown

70.2

Overall

Attack 67.6
Defense 90.1
Form 56.3
Consistency 70.0
RB Salzburg

Power Rating Breakdown

45.4

Overall

Attack 57.4
Defense 45.3
Form 36.2
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

63.4 vs 53.0

Opponent Quality

58.6 vs 55.4

Elite Opponent Record

67% vs 0%
Sturm logo Sturm
W
Hearts (77%)
W
Hearts (72%)
W
Rapid Vienna (47%)
W
Hartberg (49%)
D
RB Salzburg (55%)
D
Austria (49%)
D
LASK (68%)
D
LASK (73%)
RB Salzburg logo RB Salzburg
W
Cottbus (40%)
L
Başakşehir (60%)
L
Hartberg (44%)
L
LASK (73%)
D
Sturm (65%)
L
Rapid Vienna (52%)
W
Austria (49%)
W
Austria (54%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hearts A
2 - 0 W
77%
Hearts H
4 - 0 W
72%
Rapid Vienna H
2 - 0 W
47%
Hartberg A
4 - 2 W
49%
RB Salzburg A
1 - 1 D
55%
Austria H
1 - 1 D
49%
LASK H
1 - 1 D
68%
LASK A
1 - 1 D
73%
Hartberg H
0 - 0 D
44%
Rapid Vienna A
2 - 0 W
52%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Cottbus A
5 - 0 W
40%
Başakşehir H
1 - 2 L
60%
Hartberg H
1 - 3 L
44%
LASK A
1 - 2 L
73%
Sturm H
1 - 1 D
65%
Rapid Vienna A
0 - 1 L
52%
Austria H
3 - 1 W
49%
Austria A
3 - 1 W
54%
LASK H
2 - 3 L
68%
Hartberg A
2 - 1 W
49%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Sturm has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 62.6) compared to RB Salzburg (SoS: 40.6). This means Sturm's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Sturm averaging 1.8 and RB Salzburg averaging 1.9 goals per match.

Defensively, Sturm is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while RB Salzburg leaks 1.5 goals per match.

Sturm has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

RB Salzburg is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Sturm has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 24.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Sturm. In practical terms, Sturm would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Sturm holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 70.2 against 45.4 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Austrian Bundesliga (2026-05-03). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Sturm

Sturm

VS
RB Salzburg

RB Salzburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Sturm

5W 5D 0L · 18 goals scored · 6 conceded

RB Salzburg

4W 1D 5L · 19 goals scored · 15 conceded

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