Sturm vs Ried Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Sturm vs Ried: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Sturm
Home Team
Ried
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Sturm
Draw
Ried
Statistical Comparison
4W, 6D, 0L
5W, 0D, 5L
17 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
+10
-3
4 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
2W / 6 matches
5W / 7 matches
2W / 4 matches
0W / 3 matches
League Difficulty: 59.2, Opponent Quality: 56.4
League Difficulty: 53.0, Opponent Quality: 52.9
1W / 2 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.35
Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.01
Attack: 60.0, Defense: 81.2, Form: 42.4
Attack: 37.7, Defense: 54.9, Form: 51.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Sturm
Ried
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 55.9 vs 52.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Sturm leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Ried's 1.1 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Sturm's backline outperforms Ried's, with 0.7 goals conceded per match versus 1.4.
Ried has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Statistical modeling projects 2.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Sturm has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Ried has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 16.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Sturm. In practical terms, Sturm would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Sturm emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (61.7 vs 45.3) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Sturm
Ried
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Sturm
4W 6D 0L · 17 goals scored · 7 conceded
Ried
5W 0D 5L · 11 goals scored · 14 conceded
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