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Compare Sturm vs Thun

Sturm vs Thun Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Sturm vs Thun: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Sturm Sturm Home Team
Thun Thun Away Team
Sturm
53.0
W W D D D D D W D W

Last 10 Matches

Thun
35.7
D L L L L W L L W W

Performance Radar

Sturm
Thun

Categories Won

10

Sturm

3

Draw

2

Thun

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 6D, 0L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

-5

-5

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
O. Kiteishvili (5 goals)
E. Rastoder (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
39.2

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 49.2

38.6

League Difficulty: 51.0, Opponent Quality: 52.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.7

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.1

1.48

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.12

Adjusted Power Rating
53.0

Attack: 53.5, Defense: 62.4, Form: 35.7

35.7

Attack: 47.3, Defense: 26.6, Form: 26.6

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

1

31-45'

4
5

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

3
6

76-90+'

3
Sturm
Thun
Sturm

Power Rating Breakdown

53.0

Overall

Attack 53.5
Defense 62.4
Form 35.7
Consistency 71.2
Thun

Power Rating Breakdown

35.7

Overall

Attack 47.3
Defense 26.6
Form 26.6
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 51.0

Opponent Quality

49.2 vs 52.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Sturm logo Sturm
W
Rapid Vienna (39%)
W
Hartberg (47%)
D
RB Salzburg (51%)
D
Austria (42%)
D
LASK (64%)
D
LASK (70%)
D
Hartberg (42%)
W
Rapid Vienna (44%)
Thun logo Thun
D
St.Gallen (64%)
L
Young Boys (53%)
L
Sion (73%)
L
Basel (44%)
L
Lugano (58%)
W
Basel (39%)
L
Lugano (58%)
L
Zürich (38%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rapid Vienna H
2 - 0 W
39%
Hartberg A
4 - 2 W
47%
RB Salzburg A
1 - 1 D
51%
Austria H
1 - 1 D
42%
LASK H
1 - 1 D
64%
LASK A
1 - 1 D
70%
Hartberg H
0 - 0 D
42%
Rapid Vienna A
2 - 0 W
44%
RB Salzburg H
1 - 1 D
46%
Austria A
5 - 2 W
47%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St.Gallen A
1 - 1 D
64%
Young Boys H
3 - 8 L
53%
Sion A
0 - 2 L
73%
Basel A
1 - 3 L
44%
Lugano H
0 - 1 L
58%
Basel H
3 - 1 W
39%
Lugano A
0 - 1 L
58%
Zürich A
1 - 2 L
38%
GC Zürich H
5 - 1 W
40%
Young Boys A
2 - 1 W
54%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 39.2 vs 38.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Sturm averaging 1.8 and Thun averaging 1.6 goals per match.

Defensively, Sturm is far superior, conceding just 0.9 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Thun leaks 2.1 per match.

Sturm is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Sturm emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (53.0 vs 35.7) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Sturm

Sturm

VS
Thun

Thun

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Sturm

4W 6D 0L · 18 goals scored · 9 conceded

Thun

3W 1D 6L · 16 goals scored · 21 conceded

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