Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Stuttgart has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 52.9 against considerably stronger competition than Bayer 04 (SoS: 42.2). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Offensively, Stuttgart outperforms Bayer 04 with 3.4 goals per match to 2.5, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Stuttgart giving up 1.1 and Bayer 04 giving up 1.0 per fixture.

Bayer 04 has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Bayer 04 is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 4.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Stuttgart has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Bayer 04 is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 25 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Stuttgart has won 6 of their last 5, while Bayer 04 has won 7. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 67% win probability for Stuttgart. In practical terms, Stuttgart would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Stuttgart holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 6.8-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In the German Bundesliga (2026-05-09), Stuttgart beat Bayer 04 3-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Stuttgart secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Bayer 04 will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Stuttgart will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.