Stuttgart vs Frankfurt Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 58.4 vs 55.2), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Stuttgart outperforms Frankfurt with 2.9 goals per match to 2.2, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Stuttgart giving up 1.5 and Frankfurt giving up 1.7 per fixture.

Stuttgart has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Frankfurt has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Stuttgart has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Stuttgart has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Stuttgart faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Frankfurt can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Stuttgart. In practical terms, Stuttgart would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Stuttgart in this contest. Their superior power rating of 67.8, compared to 52.0 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These two teams drew 2-2 in the German Bundesliga (2026-05-16). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.