Sudan vs Congo DR Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.9 vs 51.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Congo DR possess a formidable attacking unit, with Y. Wissa accounting for 4 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 1.2 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Congo DR — 0.8 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Sudan, who give up 1.6 goals per match at the other end.

Sudan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Congo DR has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 1.9 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Sudan is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 9 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Congo DR is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Sudan shows signs of decline with 1W in last 9.

💡 Why This Matters: The 21.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Congo DR. In practical terms, Congo DR would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Congo DR emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (49.8 vs 28.7) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - African (2025-10-14): Congo DR defeated Sudan 1-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Congo DR's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Sudan. Congo DR secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Sudan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Congo DR will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.