Sudan vs Senegal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.9 vs 52.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Senegal possess a formidable attacking unit, with I. Sarr accounting for 5 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 1.8 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Defensively, Sudan and Senegal are evenly matched, allowing 1.6 and 1.6 goals per game respectively.

Sudan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Senegal has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Senegal has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.6 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Sudan is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 9 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Senegal is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Sudan shows signs of decline with 1W in last 9.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Senegal faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Sudan can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 19.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Senegal. In practical terms, Senegal would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Senegal holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 48.6 against 28.7 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In the CAF Africa Cup of Nations (2026-01-03), Senegal eliminated Sudan with a 3-1 result. Cup matches bring a unique intensity, and Senegal showed they can handle the pressure. Senegal secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Sudan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Senegal will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - African (2025-09-05): Senegal defeated Sudan 2-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Senegal's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Sudan. Senegal secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Sudan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Senegal will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.