Sunderland vs Ipswich Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Context matters here: Sunderland's schedule strength (SoS: 46.5) has been notably more demanding than Ipswich's (SoS: 34.2), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Offensively, Ipswich outperforms Sunderland with 1.6 goals per match to 1.0, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Ipswich holds the advantage — allowing just 1.1 goals per game against Sunderland's 1.5.

Sunderland has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.6 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Sunderland is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Ipswich has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Ipswich is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Sunderland shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Ipswich faces a key vulnerability: they have kept only 1 clean sheets in their last 10 matches. If Sunderland can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 74% win probability for Ipswich. In practical terms, Ipswich would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Ipswich holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 9.6-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent English WSL 2 match (2026-05-02), Ipswich prevailed 2-1 against Sunderland. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Ipswich secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Sunderland will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Ipswich will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.