Sunderland vs Southampton Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 46.5 vs 46.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Southampton outperforms Sunderland with 1.8 goals per match to 1.0, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Southampton holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against Sunderland's 1.5.

Sunderland has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Southampton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Southampton is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.6 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Sunderland is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Southampton has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Southampton is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Sunderland shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 18.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Southampton. In practical terms, Southampton would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Southampton holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 55.0 against 36.7 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent English WSL 2 match (2026-01-25), Sunderland prevailed 1-0 against Southampton. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Sunderland secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Southampton will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Sunderland will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.