Suriname vs Bolivia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 43.9 vs 53.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Suriname holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus Bolivia's 0.7, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Suriname's backline outperforms Bolivia's, with 1.4 goals conceded per match versus 2.0.

Suriname has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Bolivia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.7 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Suriname is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Bolivia is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Suriname faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Bolivia can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 73% win probability for Suriname. In practical terms, Suriname would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Suriname has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.3-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - Intercontinental (2026-03-26): Bolivia defeated Suriname 2-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Bolivia's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Suriname. Bolivia secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Suriname will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bolivia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.