Suriname vs Guatemala Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 43.9 vs 41.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Suriname leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.3 goals per game compared to Guatemala's 0.9 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Suriname has the defensive edge, conceding 1.4 per match compared to Guatemala's 2.1.

Suriname has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Guatemala has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Suriname is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Guatemala is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Suriname faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Guatemala can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 76% win probability for Suriname. In practical terms, Suriname would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Suriname has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.5-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-11-19): Guatemala defeated Suriname 3-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Guatemala's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Suriname. Guatemala secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Suriname will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Guatemala will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 1-1 in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-10-10). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.