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Compare Swansea vs Cardiff City

Swansea vs Cardiff City Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Swansea vs Cardiff City: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Swansea Swansea Home Team
Cardiff City Cardiff City Away Team
Swansea
63.3
W L L L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Cardiff City
62.3
D L W W L W W W W W

Performance Radar

Swansea
Cardiff City

Categories Won

3

Swansea

2

Draw

10

Cardiff City

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
56%

5W, 0D, 4L

70%

7W, 1D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
2.6

23 / 9 matches

2.8

28 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

17 / 9 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

+15

+15

Clean Sheet
11%

1 / 9 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
89%

8 / 9 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
78%

7 / 9 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
N/A (0 goals)
N/A (0 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 0 / 2nd Half: 23
1st Half: 0 / 2nd Half: 28
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
62.1

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 54.6

36.0

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 51.4

Elite Opponent Record
100%

1W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.27

Actual: 2.6 | Diff: +0.29

2.46

Actual: 2.8 | Diff: +0.34

Adjusted Power Rating
63.3

Attack: 97.2, Defense: 41.1, Form: 62.8

62.3

Attack: 80.3, Defense: 48.7, Form: 60.2

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Swansea
Cardiff City
Swansea

Power Rating Breakdown

63.3

Overall

Attack 97.2
Defense 41.1
Form 62.8
Consistency 33.3
Cardiff City

Power Rating Breakdown

62.3

Overall

Attack 80.3
Defense 48.7
Form 60.2
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

54.6 vs 51.4

Elite Opponent Record

100% vs 0%
Swansea logo Swansea
W
Wrexham (71%)
L
TNS (41%)
L
Wrexham (66%)
L
Cardiff City (67%)
L
Cardiff City (62%)
W
TNS (45%)
W
Briton Ferry (52%)
W
Barry Town (46%)
Cardiff City logo Cardiff City
D
TNS (41%)
L
Wrexham (71%)
W
Swansea (50%)
W
Swansea (55%)
L
Wrexham (66%)
W
TNS (45%)
W
Aberystwyth (47%)
W
Pontypridd (21%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Wrexham A
2 - 1 W
71%
TNS H
0 - 1 L
41%
Wrexham H
1 - 7 L
66%
Cardiff City A
1 - 2 L
67%
Cardiff City H
1 - 2 L
62%
TNS A
5 - 2 W
45%
Briton Ferry A
3 - 1 W
52%
Barry Town H
7 - 1 W
46%
TNS H
3 - 0 W
41%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
TNS H
1 - 1 D
41%
Wrexham A
1 - 4 L
71%
Swansea H
2 - 1 W
50%
Swansea A
2 - 1 W
55%
Wrexham H
1 - 3 L
66%
TNS A
5 - 1 W
45%
Aberystwyth A
4 - 0 W
47%
Pontypridd H
6 - 0 W
21%
Briton Ferry A
4 - 1 W
52%
Wrexham H
2 - 1 W
66%

AI Analysis

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

Swansea has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 62.1 against considerably stronger competition than Cardiff City (SoS: 36.0). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Swansea averaging 2.6 and Cardiff City averaging 2.8 goals per match.

Defensively, Cardiff City holds the advantage — allowing just 1.3 goals per game against Swansea's 1.9.

Cardiff City is a strong road performer with a 80% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Swansea has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.67 points per game over their last 9 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Cardiff City is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 28 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Swansea's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

The data offers no clear edge here. These sides are separated by the finest of margins across every key metric, making the final result almost impossible to call in advance.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Welsh Premier Women's League match (2026-03-22), Cardiff City prevailed 2-1 against Swansea. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Cardiff City secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Swansea will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Cardiff City will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Welsh Premier Women's League match (2026-03-15), Cardiff City prevailed 1-2 against Swansea. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Cardiff City achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Swansea shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Swansea will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Cardiff City will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Swansea

Swansea

VS
Cardiff City

Cardiff City

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Swansea

5W 0D 4L · 23 goals scored · 17 conceded

Cardiff City

7W 1D 2L · 28 goals scored · 13 conceded

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