Swansea vs Stoke Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Swansea vs Stoke: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Swansea
Home Team
Stoke
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Swansea
Draw
Stoke
Statistical Comparison
4W, 4D, 2L
2W, 2D, 6L
17 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
+2
-9
2 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
2W / 6 matches
1W / 4 matches
2W / 4 matches
1W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 61.0, Opponent Quality: 57.1
League Difficulty: 61.0, Opponent Quality: 55.1
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: 0.0
Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.02
Attack: 61.6, Defense: 54.4, Form: 43.5
Attack: 28.7, Defense: 46.6, Form: 21.5
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Swansea
Stoke
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 58.7 vs 57.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Offensively, Swansea outperforms Stoke with 1.7 goals per match to 0.8, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Both defenses are comparable, with Swansea conceding 1.5 and Stoke conceding 1.7 per match.
Swansea has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Stoke has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
📈 Form Momentum: Swansea has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
❄️ Form Momentum: Stoke is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Swansea faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Stoke can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 18.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Swansea. In practical terms, Swansea would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Based on the available data, Swansea holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 53.6 against 35.6 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Swansea
Stoke
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Swansea
4W 4D 2L · 17 goals scored · 15 conceded
Stoke
2W 2D 6L · 8 goals scored · 17 conceded
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