Sweden vs Denmark Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (36.9 vs 46.8), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Denmark possess a formidable attacking unit, with P. Harder accounting for 7 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.1 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Denmark's backline outperforms Sweden's, with 1.2 goals conceded per match versus 1.5.

Denmark has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Denmark is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Sweden is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Denmark has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Denmark is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Sweden shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 28.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Denmark. In practical terms, Denmark would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Denmark holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 61.5 against 33.1 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These teams have faced each other 3 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-06-05): Denmark defeated Sweden 2-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Denmark's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Sweden. Denmark secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Sweden will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Denmark will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-04-14): Denmark defeated Sweden 1-2. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Denmark's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Sweden. Notably, Denmark achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Sweden shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Sweden will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Denmark will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent UEFA Women's Nations League match (2025-06-03), Sweden prevailed 6-1 against Denmark. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Sweden secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 6-1 scoreline was emphatic — Sweden completely dominated Denmark in that encounter, raising serious questions about Denmark's ability to compete at this level. Denmark will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Sweden will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.