Sweden vs Algeria Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 57.1 vs 59.7), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Sweden (1.8 goals per match) and Algeria (1.8 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Defensively, Algeria is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Sweden leaks 2.3 goals per match.

Sweden has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Algeria has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Algeria is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.5 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Algeria has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Algeria. In practical terms, Algeria would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Algeria in this contest. Their superior power rating of 60.4, compared to 43.1 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.