Sweden vs Kosovo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.1 vs 64.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Sweden leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to Kosovo's 1.4 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Kosovo is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Sweden leaks 2.3 goals per match.

Sweden has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Kosovo has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Kosovo is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Kosovo has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Kosovo. In practical terms, Kosovo would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Kosovo has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.9-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-10-13): Kosovo defeated Sweden 0-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Kosovo's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Sweden. Notably, Kosovo achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Sweden shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Sweden will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kosovo will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-09-08): Kosovo defeated Sweden 2-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Kosovo's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Sweden. Kosovo secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Sweden will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kosovo will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.