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Compare Swindon vs Bristol Rovers

Swindon vs Bristol Rovers Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Swindon vs Bristol Rovers: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Swindon Swindon Home Team
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers Away Team
Swindon
37.4
L L D L W D D W W L

Last 10 Matches

Bristol Rovers
66.5
D W W W W W W W W L

Performance Radar

Swindon
Bristol Rovers

Categories Won

3

Swindon

2

Draw

10

Bristol Rovers

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 3D, 4L

80%

8W, 1D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-5

-5

+12

+12

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Drinan (3 goals)
E. Harrison (8 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 14
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

100%

5W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
42.8

League Difficulty: 40.0, Opponent Quality: 44.7

40.4

League Difficulty: 40.0, Opponent Quality: 40.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.94

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.16

1.75

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: +0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
37.4

Attack: 34.0, Defense: 43.3, Form: 27.8

66.5

Attack: 57.3, Defense: 69.3, Form: 72.3

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

2

31-45'

3

46-60'

6
1

61-75'

4
5

76-90+'

5
Swindon
Bristol Rovers
Swindon

Power Rating Breakdown

37.4

Overall

Attack 34.0
Defense 43.3
Form 27.8
Consistency 53.2
Bristol Rovers

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 57.3
Defense 69.3
Form 72.3
Consistency 68.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

40.0 vs 40.0

Opponent Quality

44.7 vs 40.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Swindon logo Swindon
L
Chesterfield (56%)
L
Grimsby (56%)
D
Accrington (27%)
L
Colchester (48%)
W
Walsall (40%)
D
Cambridge Utd (54%)
D
Fleetwood (41%)
W
Tranmere (36%)
Bristol Rovers logo Bristol Rovers
D
Notts Co (54%)
W
Cheltenham (37%)
W
Tranmere (36%)
W
Crawley (42%)
W
Harrogate (46%)
W
Fleetwood (41%)
W
Accrington (27%)
W
Gillingham (37%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Chesterfield H
1 - 2 L
56%
Grimsby A
0 - 4 L
56%
Accrington H
2 - 2 D
27%
Colchester A
0 - 3 L
48%
Walsall H
2 - 1 W
40%
Cambridge Utd A
1 - 1 D
54%
Fleetwood H
1 - 1 D
41%
Tranmere A
1 - 0 W
36%
Gillingham A
2 - 0 W
37%
MK Dons H
1 - 2 L
52%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Notts Co A
1 - 1 D
54%
Cheltenham H
4 - 0 W
37%
Tranmere A
2 - 1 W
36%
Crawley H
3 - 1 W
42%
Harrogate A
3 - 2 W
46%
Fleetwood H
1 - 0 W
41%
Accrington H
2 - 0 W
27%
Gillingham A
2 - 1 W
37%
Shrewsbury H
1 - 0 W
33%
Bromley A
0 - 1 L
53%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 42.8 vs 40.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Bristol Rovers holds the attacking edge with 1.9 goals per match versus Swindon's 1.1, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Bristol Rovers is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while Swindon leaks 1.6 per match.

Swindon has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Bristol Rovers has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors Bristol Rovers, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Bristol Rovers is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Bristol Rovers emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (66.5 vs 37.4) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Swindon

Swindon

VS
Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Swindon

3W 3D 4L · 11 goals scored · 16 conceded

Bristol Rovers

8W 1D 1L · 19 goals scored · 7 conceded

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