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Compare Swindon vs Crawley

Swindon vs Crawley Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Swindon vs Crawley: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Swindon Swindon Home Team
Crawley Crawley Away Team
Swindon
31.9
W D L W W L L L L L

Last 10 Matches

Crawley
40.6
W L L W L L W D D D

Performance Radar

Swindon
Crawley

Categories Won

5

Swindon

4

Draw

6

Crawley

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 1D, 6L

30%

3W, 3D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-8

-8

-1

-1

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Glatzel (1 goals)
T. Richards (1 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
14%

1W / 7 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
34.6

League Difficulty: 43.0, Opponent Quality: 49.7

44.0

League Difficulty: 42.5, Opponent Quality: 45.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.37

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.07

0.8

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.1

Adjusted Power Rating
31.9

Attack: 36.7, Defense: 25.4, Form: 25.4

40.6

Attack: 28.2, Defense: 62.7, Form: 28.2

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

1

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

1
1

61-75'

2

76-90+'

1
Swindon
Crawley
Swindon

Power Rating Breakdown

31.9

Overall

Attack 36.7
Defense 25.4
Form 25.4
Consistency 46.0
Crawley

Power Rating Breakdown

40.6

Overall

Attack 28.2
Defense 62.7
Form 28.2
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

43.0 vs 42.5

Opponent Quality

49.7 vs 45.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Swindon logo Swindon
W
Cheltenham (38%)
D
Northampton (42%)
L
Cardiff (71%)
W
Forest Green (51%)
W
L Orient (49%)
L
Bristol C (47%)
L
C Palace (50%)
L
Chippenham (49%)
Crawley logo Crawley
W
Rochdale (38%)
L
Crewe (46%)
L
Watford (40%)
W
York (47%)
L
Reading (51%)
L
Oxford U (59%)
W
Eastleigh (42%)
D
Salford (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Cheltenham H
2 - 1 W
38%
Northampton A
0 - 0 D
42%
Cardiff A
2 - 3 L
71%
Forest Green A
4 - 1 W
51%
L Orient H
2 - 1 W
49%
Bristol C A
1 - 3 L
47%
C Palace A
1 - 5 L
50%
Chippenham A
0 - 1 L
49%
Chesterfield H
1 - 2 L
44%
Grimsby A
0 - 4 L
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rochdale A
2 - 1 W
38%
Crewe H
0 - 1 L
46%
Watford A
0 - 1 L
40%
York A
2 - 0 W
47%
Reading H
0 - 1 L
51%
Oxford U A
1 - 3 L
59%
Eastleigh A
1 - 0 W
42%
Salford H
0 - 0 D
46%
Accrington A
3 - 3 D
48%
Shrewsbury H
0 - 0 D
33%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 34.6 vs 44.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Swindon leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.3 goals per game compared to Crawley's 0.9 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Crawley holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.0 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to Swindon's leaky backline that surrenders 2.1 goals per match.

Crawley has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 72% win probability for Crawley. In practical terms, Crawley would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Crawley, with a 8.7-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Swindon

Swindon

VS
Crawley

Crawley

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Swindon

3W 1D 6L · 13 goals scored · 21 conceded

Crawley

3W 3D 4L · 9 goals scored · 10 conceded

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