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Compare Swindon vs MK Dons

Swindon vs MK Dons Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Swindon vs MK Dons: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Swindon Swindon Home Team
MK Dons MK Dons Away Team
Swindon
37.4
L L D L W D D W W L

Last 10 Matches

MK Dons
51.1
D W W W D D L L W W

Performance Radar

Swindon
MK Dons

Categories Won

1

Swindon

6

Draw

8

MK Dons

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 3D, 4L

50%

5W, 3D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-5

-5

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Drinan (3 goals)
M. Ekpiteta (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
42.8

League Difficulty: 40.0, Opponent Quality: 44.7

42.8

League Difficulty: 40.0, Opponent Quality: 44.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.94

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.16

1.32

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.08

Adjusted Power Rating
37.4

Attack: 34.0, Defense: 43.3, Form: 27.8

51.1

Attack: 43.3, Defense: 65.0, Form: 46.4

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

4

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

1
1

61-75'

1
5

76-90+'

2
Swindon
MK Dons
Swindon

Power Rating Breakdown

37.4

Overall

Attack 34.0
Defense 43.3
Form 27.8
Consistency 53.2
MK Dons

Power Rating Breakdown

51.1

Overall

Attack 43.3
Defense 65.0
Form 46.4
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

40.0 vs 40.0

Opponent Quality

44.7 vs 44.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Swindon logo Swindon
L
Chesterfield (56%)
L
Grimsby (56%)
D
Accrington (27%)
L
Colchester (48%)
W
Walsall (40%)
D
Cambridge Utd (54%)
D
Fleetwood (41%)
W
Tranmere (36%)
MK Dons logo MK Dons
D
Fleetwood (46%)
W
Tranmere (31%)
W
Crewe (43%)
W
Bromley (48%)
D
Oldham (49%)
D
Barrow (28%)
L
Salford (55%)
L
Barnet (60%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Chesterfield H
1 - 2 L
56%
Grimsby A
0 - 4 L
56%
Accrington H
2 - 2 D
27%
Colchester A
0 - 3 L
48%
Walsall H
2 - 1 W
40%
Cambridge Utd A
1 - 1 D
54%
Fleetwood H
1 - 1 D
41%
Tranmere A
1 - 0 W
36%
Gillingham A
2 - 0 W
37%
MK Dons H
1 - 2 L
52%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Fleetwood A
1 - 1 D
46%
Tranmere H
3 - 0 W
31%
Crewe A
3 - 1 W
43%
Bromley H
2 - 1 W
48%
Oldham A
1 - 1 D
49%
Barrow H
0 - 0 D
28%
Salford A
0 - 1 L
55%
Barnet H
1 - 3 L
60%
Colchester H
1 - 0 W
43%
Swindon A
2 - 1 W
44%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 42.8 vs 42.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Swindon averaging 1.1 and MK Dons averaging 1.4 goals per match.

MK Dons has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to Swindon's 1.6.

Swindon has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

MK Dons has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

MK Dons has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In their recent League Two match (2026-03-14), MK Dons prevailed 1-2 against Swindon. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, MK Dons achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Swindon shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Swindon will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. MK Dons will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Swindon

Swindon

VS
MK Dons

MK Dons

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Swindon

3W 3D 4L · 11 goals scored · 16 conceded

MK Dons

5W 3D 2L · 14 goals scored · 9 conceded

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