Tamworth vs Port Vale Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 40.9 vs 49.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Tamworth averaging 1.5 and Port Vale averaging 1.5 goals per match.

Port Vale's backline outperforms Tamworth's, with 0.8 goals conceded per match versus 1.5.

Tamworth has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Port Vale has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Tamworth has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Port Vale is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.6 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Tamworth has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Port Vale has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 79% win probability for Port Vale. In practical terms, Port Vale would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Port Vale, with a 11.5-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Friendly match (2026-07-14), Port Vale prevailed 5-0 against Tamworth. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Port Vale secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-0 scoreline was emphatic — Port Vale completely dominated Tamworth in that encounter, raising serious questions about Tamworth's ability to compete at this level. Tamworth will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Port Vale will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.