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Compare Telstar vs Excelsior

Telstar vs Excelsior Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Telstar vs Excelsior: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Telstar Telstar Home Team
Excelsior Excelsior Away Team
Telstar
64.4
W W D W L L W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Excelsior
52.5
W W D W W D L D L L

Performance Radar

Telstar
Excelsior

Categories Won

10

Telstar

1

Draw

4

Excelsior

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 1D, 3L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+7

+7

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
S. van Duijn (4 goals)
D. Sanches Fernandes (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 14
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 13
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
60.7

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 58.3

50.9

League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 58.0

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.37

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.27

2.44

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.44

Adjusted Power Rating
64.4

Attack: 77.5, Defense: 59.0, Form: 66.4

52.5

Attack: 67.3, Defense: 50.4, Form: 40.4

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2

16-30'

2
4

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

3
6

61-75'

4
6

76-90+'

3
Telstar
Excelsior
Telstar

Power Rating Breakdown

64.4

Overall

Attack 77.5
Defense 59.0
Form 66.4
Consistency 43.3
Excelsior

Power Rating Breakdown

52.5

Overall

Attack 67.3
Defense 50.4
Form 40.4
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.0 vs 76.5

Opponent Quality

58.3 vs 58.0

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Telstar logo Telstar
W
Volendam (62%)
W
Heracles (36%)
D
NEC (78%)
W
Sparta (44%)
L
Utrecht (71%)
L
Groningen (53%)
W
PSV (70%)
L
Heerenveen (68%)
Excelsior logo Excelsior
W
NAC (40%)
W
Sparta (50%)
D
Volendam (57%)
W
Groningen (58%)
W
Utrecht (66%)
D
Zwolle (54%)
L
NEC (73%)
D
Heracles (41%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Volendam A
2 - 1 W
62%
Heracles H
3 - 0 W
36%
NEC A
1 - 1 D
78%
Sparta H
4 - 1 W
44%
Utrecht A
1 - 4 L
71%
Groningen H
0 - 2 L
53%
PSV H
3 - 1 W
70%
Heerenveen A
0 - 3 L
68%
Fortuna A
4 - 1 W
51%
NAC H
3 - 0 W
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
NAC A
3 - 1 W
40%
Sparta A
3 - 2 W
50%
Volendam H
1 - 1 D
57%
Groningen A
3 - 2 W
58%
Utrecht H
5 - 0 W
66%
Zwolle A
2 - 2 D
54%
NEC H
0 - 2 L
73%
Heracles A
1 - 1 D
41%
Feyenoord A
1 - 2 L
78%
Heerenveen H
1 - 2 L
63%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 60.7 vs 50.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Telstar averaging 2.1 and Excelsior averaging 2.0 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Telstar conceding 1.4 and Excelsior conceding 1.5 per match.

Telstar has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Telstar has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.5 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Telstar has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Excelsior has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Telstar faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Excelsior can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 80% win probability for Telstar. In practical terms, Telstar would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Telstar has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 11.9-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Telstar

Telstar

VS
Excelsior

Excelsior

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Telstar

6W 1D 3L · 21 goals scored · 14 conceded

Excelsior

4W 3D 3L · 20 goals scored · 15 conceded

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