Thailand vs Uzbekistan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 65.3 vs 57.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Thailand's attack is on another level, averaging 2.6 goals per match with N/A leading the charge (0 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Thailand — 0.3 goals conceded per game and 5 clean sheets put them well ahead of Uzbekistan, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

Thailand has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: Thailand has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.71 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Thailand faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Uzbekistan can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 55.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Thailand. In practical terms, Thailand would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, Thailand emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 97.5 compared to 41.7, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects Thailand as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2026-06-06), Thailand prevailed 1-0 against Uzbekistan. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Thailand secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Uzbekistan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Thailand will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.