TNS vs Wrexham Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Context matters here: Wrexham's schedule strength (SoS: 48.4) has been notably more demanding than TNS's (SoS: 37.2), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Few sides can match Wrexham in front of goal. Their 3.4 average per fixture tells the story, with L. Jones driving that output personally responsible for 2 goals this campaign.

Wrexham's backline outperforms TNS's, with 1.4 goals conceded per match versus 2.1.

Wrexham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Wrexham has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Wrexham is a strong road performer with a 83% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 4.4 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Wrexham is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 34 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Wrexham is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while TNS shows signs of decline with 3W in last 9.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Wrexham faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If TNS can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 37.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Wrexham. In practical terms, Wrexham would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Wrexham holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 74.8 against 37.4 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Wrexham a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Welsh Premier Women's League match (2026-03-22), Wrexham prevailed 0-1 against TNS. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Wrexham achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against TNS shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. TNS will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Wrexham will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Welsh Premier Women's League match (2026-03-15), Wrexham prevailed 4-1 against TNS. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Wrexham secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-1 scoreline was emphatic — Wrexham completely dominated TNS in that encounter, raising serious questions about TNS's ability to compete at this level. TNS will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Wrexham will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.