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Compare Tigres vs Toluca

Tigres vs Toluca Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Tigres vs Toluca: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Tigres Tigres Home Team
Toluca Toluca Away Team
Tigres
55.4
L W W D D W L L D W

Last 10 Matches

Toluca
44.7
L L W L L D L D D W

Performance Radar

Tigres
Toluca

Categories Won

9

Tigres

4

Draw

2

Toluca

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

20%

2W, 3D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

-1

-1

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Brunetta (5 goals)
N. Castro (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.5

League Difficulty: 64.0, Opponent Quality: 53.2

59.3

League Difficulty: 64.0, Opponent Quality: 56.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.71

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.21

1.46

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.06

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 53.8, Defense: 75.2, Form: 43.0

44.7

Attack: 51.0, Defense: 54.6, Form: 21.9

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

2

31-45'

4

46-60'

6
1

61-75'

3
5

76-90+'

4
Tigres
Toluca
Tigres

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 53.8
Defense 75.2
Form 43.0
Consistency 50.5
Toluca

Power Rating Breakdown

44.7

Overall

Attack 51.0
Defense 54.6
Form 21.9
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

64.0 vs 64.0

Opponent Quality

53.2 vs 56.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Tigres logo Tigres
L
Chivas (59%)
W
Chivas (54%)
W
Mazatlán (46%)
D
Atlas (53%)
D
Necaxa (51%)
W
Chivas (54%)
L
Tijuana (61%)
L
Juárez (55%)
Toluca logo Toluca
L
Pachuca (65%)
L
Pachuca (60%)
W
León (50%)
L
Mazatlán (51%)
L
Club América (63%)
D
San Luis (49%)
L
Querétaro (60%)
D
Pachuca (65%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Chivas A
0 - 2 L
59%
Chivas H
3 - 1 W
54%
Mazatlán H
5 - 1 W
46%
Atlas A
0 - 0 D
53%
Necaxa A
1 - 1 D
51%
Chivas H
4 - 1 W
54%
Tijuana A
0 - 1 L
61%
Juárez A
1 - 2 L
55%
Querétaro H
0 - 0 D
55%
Monterrey H
1 - 0 W
44%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Pachuca A
0 - 2 L
65%
Pachuca H
0 - 1 L
60%
León H
4 - 1 W
50%
Mazatlán A
3 - 4 L
51%
Club América A
1 - 2 L
63%
San Luis H
1 - 1 D
49%
Querétaro A
0 - 1 L
60%
Pachuca A
1 - 1 D
65%
Atlas H
1 - 1 D
48%
Juárez H
3 - 1 W
50%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.5 vs 59.3), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Tigres averaging 1.5 and Toluca averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Tigres has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to Toluca's 1.5.

Tigres has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Toluca has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors Tigres, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Tigres has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Tigres

Tigres

VS
Toluca

Toluca

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Tigres

4W 3D 3L · 15 goals scored · 9 conceded

Toluca

2W 3D 5L · 14 goals scored · 15 conceded

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