Tijuana vs Chivas Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 42.8 vs 43.4), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Tijuana averaging 1.5 and Chivas averaging 1.3 goals per match.

Tijuana's backline outperforms Chivas's, with 0.9 goals conceded per match versus 1.3.

Tijuana has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Tijuana has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Tijuana is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Chivas shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 82% win probability for Tijuana. In practical terms, Tijuana would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Tijuana has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.9-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the Liga MX (2026-04-26). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.