Togo vs Guinea Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Togo has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 59.6 against considerably stronger competition than Guinea (SoS: 47.3). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

The attacking output of Togo and Guinea is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.2 and 1.3 goals per game respectively.

Both defenses are comparable, with Togo conceding 0.9 and Guinea conceding 0.9 per match.

Togo has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 63% win probability for Togo. In practical terms, Togo would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Togo, with a 5.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These two teams drew 2-2 in the Internationals (2026-03-27). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.