Togo vs Mauritania Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 59.6 vs 49.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Togo holds the attacking edge with 1.2 goals per match versus Mauritania's 0.6, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Togo and Mauritania are evenly matched, allowing 0.9 and 0.9 goals per game respectively.

Togo has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 1.8 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Mauritania is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 84% win probability for Togo. In practical terms, Togo would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Togo holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 13.6-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - African (2025-09-05): Mauritania defeated Togo 2-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Mauritania's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Togo. Mauritania secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Togo will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Mauritania will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.