Togo vs Niger Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (59.6 vs 49.8), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Togo (1.2 goals per match) and Niger (0.9 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Togo has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to Niger's 1.3.

Togo has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Niger has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.1 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 82% win probability for Togo. In practical terms, Togo would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Togo has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.0-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-03-31), Togo prevailed 0-1 against Niger. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Togo achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Niger shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Niger will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Togo will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.