Togo vs South Sudan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (59.6 vs 50.3), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Togo holds the attacking edge with 1.2 goals per match versus South Sudan's 0.8, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Togo has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to South Sudan's 1.7.

Togo has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

South Sudan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.3 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: South Sudan is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 19.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Togo. In practical terms, Togo would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Togo in this contest. Their superior power rating of 53.1, compared to 33.9 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - African (2025-10-13). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.