Togo vs Sudan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (59.6 vs 54.9), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Togo's attack is on another level, averaging 1.2 goals per match with S. Fofana leading the charge (1 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, Togo holds the advantage — allowing just 0.9 goals per game against Sudan's 1.6.

Togo has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Sudan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Sudan is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 9 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 24.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Togo. In practical terms, Togo would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Togo emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (53.1 vs 28.7) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - African (2025-09-09): Togo defeated Sudan 1-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Togo's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Sudan. Togo secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Sudan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Togo will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.