Toronto vs Cincinnati Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Toronto vs Cincinnati: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Toronto
Home Team
Cincinnati
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Toronto
Draw
Cincinnati
Statistical Comparison
2W, 4D, 4L
3W, 5D, 2L
18 / 10 matches
29 / 10 matches
22 / 10 matches
26 / 10 matches
-4
+3
0 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
2W / 8 matches
2W / 4 matches
0W / 2 matches
1W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 50.8
League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 53.6
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.05
Actual: 2.9 | Diff: +0.17
Attack: 61.5, Defense: 27.3, Form: 20.5
Attack: 100, Defense: 13.9, Form: 31.3
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Toronto
Cincinnati
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.5 vs 54.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.
Cincinnati's attack is on another level, averaging 2.9 goals per match with Evander leading the charge with 9 goals. Toronto manages just 1.8 per match.
Toronto has the defensive edge, conceding 2.2 per match compared to Cincinnati's 2.6.
Toronto has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Cincinnati has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.
Cincinnati has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 11.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.
These two teams drew 1-1 in the US Major League Soccer (2026-04-11). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Toronto
Cincinnati
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Toronto
2W 4D 4L · 18 goals scored · 22 conceded
Cincinnati
3W 5D 2L · 29 goals scored · 26 conceded
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