Skip to content
Compare Toronto vs Montréal

Toronto vs Montréal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Toronto vs Montréal: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Toronto Toronto Home Team
Montréal Montréal Away Team
Toronto
41.2
W D W D L D D L L L

Last 10 Matches

Montréal
36.8
D W D D L L D D L D

Performance Radar

Toronto
Montréal

Categories Won

8

Toronto

3

Draw

4

Montréal

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 4D, 4L

10%

1W, 6D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-4

-4

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
N. Dorsch (2 goals)
P. Owusu (7 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
14%

1W / 7 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
55.9

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 56.5

40.0

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 51.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.48

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.18

1.16

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.14

Adjusted Power Rating
41.2

Attack: 45.9, Defense: 45.9, Form: 21.2

36.8

Attack: 39.0, Defense: 42.0, Form: 9.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

4
1

61-75'

1
5

76-90+'

4
Toronto
Montréal
Toronto

Power Rating Breakdown

41.2

Overall

Attack 45.9
Defense 45.9
Form 21.2
Consistency 64.0
Montréal

Power Rating Breakdown

36.8

Overall

Attack 39.0
Defense 42.0
Form 9.0
Consistency 79.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

56.5 vs 51.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Toronto logo Toronto
W
Inter Miami (65%)
D
Charlotte (58%)
W
New England (48%)
D
NYCFC (58%)
L
DC United (48%)
D
New England (53%)
D
Montréal (50%)
L
Chicago (61%)
Montréal logo Montréal
D
Galaxy (44%)
W
Columbus (45%)
D
DC United (44%)
D
New England (48%)
L
Inter Miami (60%)
L
Nashville (72%)
D
Toronto (44%)
D
DC United (48%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Inter Miami A
2 - 1 W
65%
Charlotte H
3 - 3 D
58%
New England H
2 - 1 W
48%
NYCFC A
1 - 1 D
58%
DC United A
1 - 2 L
48%
New England A
0 - 0 D
53%
Montréal A
0 - 0 D
50%
Chicago A
1 - 2 L
61%
Charlotte A
1 - 3 L
64%
Inter Miami H
2 - 4 L
60%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Galaxy H
2 - 2 D
44%
Columbus A
2 - 1 W
45%
DC United H
1 - 1 D
44%
New England H
2 - 2 D
48%
Inter Miami H
0 - 1 L
60%
Nashville A
0 - 1 L
72%
Toronto H
0 - 0 D
44%
DC United A
4 - 4 D
48%
Chicago H
0 - 2 L
56%
Portland H
2 - 2 D
53%

AI Analysis

Two well-matched sides make for a compelling statistical comparison here. Surface-level metrics only scratch the surface — once we factor in strength of schedule, the analysis gains real depth. The numbers both teams have posted reflect performances against broadly similar competition.

Toronto has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 55.9) compared to Montréal (SoS: 40.0). This means Toronto's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Toronto averaging 1.3 and Montréal averaging 1.3 goals per match.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Toronto giving up 1.7 and Montréal giving up 1.6 per fixture.

Toronto has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Toronto is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Montréal is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Toronto faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Montréal can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: Toronto's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the Major League Soccer (2026-07-17). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Toronto

Toronto

VS
Montréal

Montréal

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Toronto

2W 4D 4L · 13 goals scored · 17 conceded

Montréal

1W 6D 3L · 13 goals scored · 16 conceded

Popular Teams

We use cookies & local storage to enhance your experience. Learn more

Login / Register

5 + 2 = ?
or