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Compare Toulouse vs Nantes

Toulouse vs Nantes Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Toulouse vs Nantes: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Toulouse Toulouse Home Team
Nantes Nantes Away Team
Toulouse
43.2
D W W D L L L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Nantes
38.9
D L W L L D D D L L

Performance Radar

Toulouse
Nantes

Categories Won

9

Toulouse

2

Draw

4

Nantes

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

10%

1W, 4D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

-4

-4

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Emersonn (3 goals)
M. Abline (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
55.6

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 65.3

56.6

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 63.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.82

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.32

0.9

Actual: 0.7 | Diff: -0.2

Adjusted Power Rating
43.2

Attack: 52.8, Defense: 31.7, Form: 42.2

38.9

Attack: 24.9, Defense: 67.5, Form: 10.7

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

4
1

61-75'

5

76-90+'

Toulouse
Nantes
Toulouse

Power Rating Breakdown

43.2

Overall

Attack 52.8
Defense 31.7
Form 42.2
Consistency 44.8
Nantes

Power Rating Breakdown

38.9

Overall

Attack 24.9
Defense 67.5
Form 10.7
Consistency 75.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.9 vs 86.0

Opponent Quality

65.3 vs 63.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Toulouse logo Toulouse
D
Nantes (58%)
W
Lyon (61%)
W
Strasbourg (65%)
D
Monaco (67%)
L
Lens (63%)
L
Lens (79%)
L
Lille (73%)
L
Paris SG (76%)
Nantes logo Nantes
D
Toulouse (59%)
L
Lens (79%)
W
Marseille (64%)
L
Rennes (75%)
L
Paris SG (76%)
D
Brest (48%)
D
Auxerre (74%)
D
Metz (50%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Nantes A
0 - 0 D
58%
Lyon H
2 - 1 W
61%
Strasbourg A
2 - 1 W
65%
Monaco H
2 - 2 D
67%
Lens A
1 - 4 L
63%
Lens A
2 - 3 L
79%
Lille H
0 - 4 L
73%
Paris SG A
1 - 3 L
76%
Lorient H
1 - 0 W
61%
Metz A
4 - 3 W
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Toulouse H
0 - 0 D
59%
Lens A
0 - 1 L
79%
Marseille H
3 - 0 W
64%
Rennes A
1 - 2 L
75%
Paris SG A
0 - 3 L
76%
Brest H
1 - 1 D
48%
Auxerre A
0 - 0 D
74%
Metz A
0 - 0 D
50%
Strasbourg H
2 - 3 L
60%
Angers H
0 - 1 L
50%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 55.6 vs 56.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Toulouse holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Nantes's 0.7, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Nantes is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while Toulouse leaks 2.1 per match.

Toulouse has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Nantes has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the French Ligue 1 (2026-05-17). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Toulouse

Toulouse

VS
Nantes

Nantes

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Toulouse

4W 2D 4L · 15 goals scored · 21 conceded

Nantes

1W 4D 5L · 7 goals scored · 11 conceded

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