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Compare Toulouse vs Sturm

Toulouse vs Sturm Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Toulouse vs Sturm: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Toulouse Toulouse Home Team
Sturm Sturm Away Team
Toulouse
43.2
D W W D L L L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Sturm
53.0
W W D D D D D W D W

Performance Radar

Toulouse
Sturm

Categories Won

4

Toulouse

4

Draw

7

Sturm

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

40%

4W, 6D, 0L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Emersonn (3 goals)
O. Kiteishvili (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
55.6

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 65.3

39.2

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 49.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.82

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.32

1.7

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.1

Adjusted Power Rating
43.2

Attack: 52.8, Defense: 31.7, Form: 42.2

53.0

Attack: 53.5, Defense: 62.4, Form: 35.7

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

5
2

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1

46-60'

5
1

61-75'

1
5

76-90+'

6
Toulouse
Sturm
Toulouse

Power Rating Breakdown

43.2

Overall

Attack 52.8
Defense 31.7
Form 42.2
Consistency 44.8
Sturm

Power Rating Breakdown

53.0

Overall

Attack 53.5
Defense 62.4
Form 35.7
Consistency 71.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.9 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

65.3 vs 49.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Toulouse logo Toulouse
D
Nantes (58%)
W
Lyon (61%)
W
Strasbourg (65%)
D
Monaco (67%)
L
Lens (63%)
L
Lens (79%)
L
Lille (73%)
L
Paris SG (76%)
Sturm logo Sturm
W
Rapid Vienna (39%)
W
Hartberg (47%)
D
RB Salzburg (51%)
D
Austria (42%)
D
LASK (64%)
D
LASK (70%)
D
Hartberg (42%)
W
Rapid Vienna (44%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Nantes A
0 - 0 D
58%
Lyon H
2 - 1 W
61%
Strasbourg A
2 - 1 W
65%
Monaco H
2 - 2 D
67%
Lens A
1 - 4 L
63%
Lens A
2 - 3 L
79%
Lille H
0 - 4 L
73%
Paris SG A
1 - 3 L
76%
Lorient H
1 - 0 W
61%
Metz A
4 - 3 W
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rapid Vienna H
2 - 0 W
39%
Hartberg A
4 - 2 W
47%
RB Salzburg A
1 - 1 D
51%
Austria H
1 - 1 D
42%
LASK H
1 - 1 D
64%
LASK A
1 - 1 D
70%
Hartberg H
0 - 0 D
42%
Rapid Vienna A
2 - 0 W
44%
RB Salzburg H
1 - 1 D
46%
Austria A
5 - 2 W
47%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Toulouse has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 55.6) compared to Sturm (SoS: 39.2). This means Toulouse's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Sturm holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Toulouse's 1.5, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Sturm is far superior, conceding just 0.9 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Toulouse leaks 2.1 per match.

Toulouse has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Sturm is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Sturm has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.8 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Toulouse

Toulouse

VS
Sturm

Sturm

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Toulouse

4W 2D 4L · 15 goals scored · 21 conceded

Sturm

4W 6D 0L · 18 goals scored · 9 conceded

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