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Compare TPS vs Oulu

TPS vs Oulu Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare TPS vs Oulu: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

TPS TPS Home Team
Oulu Oulu Away Team
TPS
39.7
L W D L L W L L W D

Last 10 Matches

Oulu
47.0
D L W D W W W L W L

Performance Radar

TPS
Oulu

Categories Won

2

TPS

4

Draw

9

Oulu

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

50%

5W, 2D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

0

0

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Muzaci (4 goals)
R. Karjalainen (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
47.5

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 49.2

46.0

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.94

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.06

0.98

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.12

Adjusted Power Rating
39.7

Attack: 32.5, Defense: 55.2, Form: 29.2

47.0

Attack: 35.2, Defense: 60.8, Form: 48.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

1

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

2

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

3
TPS
Oulu
TPS

Power Rating Breakdown

39.7

Overall

Attack 32.5
Defense 55.2
Form 29.2
Consistency 49.3
Oulu

Power Rating Breakdown

47.0

Overall

Attack 35.2
Defense 60.8
Form 48.0
Consistency 45.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

49.2 vs 46.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
TPS logo TPS
L
SJK (46%)
W
Jaro (29%)
D
Lahti (48%)
L
KuPS (62%)
L
Ilves (51%)
W
VPS (58%)
L
Inter Turku (61%)
L
Oulu (54%)
Oulu logo Oulu
D
Lahti (43%)
L
VPS (63%)
W
Mariehamn (22%)
D
Inter Turku (61%)
W
Jaro (29%)
W
SJK (46%)
W
TPS (41%)
L
Ilves (51%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
SJK A
1 - 3 L
46%
Jaro H
3 - 2 W
29%
Lahti A
0 - 0 D
48%
KuPS H
1 - 2 L
62%
Ilves A
0 - 1 L
51%
VPS H
1 - 0 W
58%
Inter Turku A
1 - 2 L
61%
Oulu A
0 - 1 L
54%
HJK H
1 - 0 W
49%
Jaro A
2 - 2 D
34%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lahti H
1 - 1 D
43%
VPS A
1 - 5 L
63%
Mariehamn H
2 - 1 W
22%
Inter Turku A
0 - 0 D
61%
Jaro H
2 - 1 W
29%
SJK A
1 - 0 W
46%
TPS H
1 - 0 W
41%
Ilves A
0 - 1 L
51%
KuPS H
2 - 0 W
62%
Lahti A
1 - 2 L
48%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 47.5 vs 46.0), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with TPS averaging 1.0 and Oulu averaging 1.1 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with TPS conceding 1.3 and Oulu conceding 1.1 per match.

TPS has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Oulu has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors Oulu, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Oulu has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In their recent Finnish Veikkausliiga match (2026-05-16), Oulu prevailed 1-0 against TPS. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Oulu secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. TPS will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Oulu will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

TPS

TPS

VS
Oulu

Oulu

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

TPS

3W 2D 5L · 10 goals scored · 13 conceded

Oulu

5W 2D 3L · 11 goals scored · 11 conceded

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